Privilege AIMKC2 results

A leaderboard
is not evidence
about your work.

Public benchmarks are useful for shortlisting and poor at predicting performance on a specific corpus. AI model benchmarking is the practice of knowing which is which.

READ THE DEFINITION ↓CONTAMINATION · SATURATION · TRANSFER

01 / DEFINITION

The short answer first.

What is AI model benchmarking?

AI model benchmarking is the comparison of models on a shared task and data set under identical conditions. Public benchmarks compare general capability across the industry; private benchmarks compare candidate models on one organisation's own material, which is the only comparison that predicts deployed performance.

Both kinds are legitimate and they answer different questions. A public benchmark answers whether a model is broadly competent. A private benchmark answers whether it is competent at your task, on your documents, with your definition of a mistake. Model selection needs both, in that order, and it goes wrong when the first is treated as a substitute for the second.

02 / WHAT ERODES A PUBLIC SCORE

Three forces, all pointing the same way.
01 — CONTAMINATION

The test set
is on the internet.

Any benchmark published long enough ago has been scraped into pretraining corpora. Scores on it partly measure recall of the answer key, and the effect is invisible from the outside.

Data leakageRecall vs reasoning
02 — SATURATION

Everyone scores
ninety-something.

Once the top models cluster within a point or two, the ranking is decided by the remaining items, which are disproportionately ambiguous or mislabelled.

Ceiling effectsLabel noise
03 — INCENTIVE

The number is
a marketing asset.

Benchmarks that decide procurement get optimised against. That is rational behaviour and it makes the score a weaker signal every year.

GoodhartSelection effects

None of this makes public benchmarks worthless. It makes them a filter rather than a decision. A model that is far down a well-constructed public leaderboard is unlikely to surprise you on your own task; a model at the top may still be the wrong choice for a corpus in a domain it has barely seen.

03 / BUILDING A PRIVATE BENCHMARK

What a defensible comparison requires.
The conditions under which a model comparison is meaningful. Each row is a place where a published comparison commonly fails.
ConditionWhy it mattersHow it is commonly broken
Same itemsDifferent samples have different difficultyBaseline scored on last quarter's sample
Same promptPrompt quality dominates small model differencesThe new model gets a tuned prompt, the old one does not
Same parserFormatting changes are scored as wrong answersA parser written around the new model's output style
Same runInfrastructure, quantisation and versions driftBaseline quoted from a vendor card or an old report
Held out from all of itIteration against a set destroys itThe set was used during prompt development

Privilege AI applies these conditions to its own published work. The MKC2 calibration record re-scores both the model it replaces and the stock base model in the same run, on the same 4,403 held-out items, with the same 45 checks. That is the reason the comparison can be stated as a difference between models rather than a difference between reports. The detail is on the MKC2 page.

A private benchmark also needs a defined lifespan. Once a set has guided a few dozen iterations it has become a development set, and a fresh held-out sample is required for the next acceptance decision. Budget for that replacement rather than discovering the need after the fact.

04 / READING A PUBLISHED COMPARISON

Questions that separate evidence from marketing.

Five questions
before you believe a number.

  • What is the item count, and what is the confidence interval? A two-point gap on 300 items is not a result.
  • Was the baseline re-scored in the same run? If not, the comparison includes two prompts and two parsers.
  • What is the date of the record, and which model version? A score without a version is not reproducible.
  • Which checks failed? A report with no negative findings has either an unusually good model or an unusually incurious author.
  • Is the metric the one that matters? Accuracy on a balanced set says little about behaviour on a production distribution where the interesting class is rare.

05 / QUESTIONS

Asked while shortlisting models.

Are public AI benchmarks still useful?

+

Yes, as a coarse filter and as a check on general capability. They are unreliable for distinguishing between closely ranked models and for predicting behaviour on specialised material. Treat them as a way to build a shortlist of three, not to pick one.

How do you detect benchmark contamination?

+

Imperfectly. Practical signals include an unusual gap between performance on a public set and on a freshly written set of equivalent difficulty, suspiciously exact reproduction of canonical answer phrasing, and sharply better scores on older benchmark editions than on newer ones. The reliable defence is a private set written after the model's training cut-off.

How big does a private benchmark need to be?

+

Large enough that each reported slice is meaningful. A few hundred items is enough to rule out gross unsuitability; several thousand is needed to distinguish similar models or to report per-check figures. MKC2's record uses 4,403 items precisely so that individual checks can be reported separately.

Can a smaller open-weight model beat a larger commercial one on a private benchmark?

+

It happens on narrow, well-defined tasks, particularly after fine-tuning on domain material. MKC2 is fine-tuned from an 8B open-weight base and outperforms that base substantially on its own supervision task. The claim is specific to that task and should not be read as a general statement about model size.

Should benchmarking include cost and latency?

+

Yes, and on the hardware you will actually deploy on. A model that scores two points higher and runs four times slower on your GPUs may be the worse choice once the throughput requirement is included. See on-premise LLM deployment.

Benchmark it
on your own material.

Privilege AI builds private benchmarks from real documents and re-scores every baseline in the same run.